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Budget 2007-08: Tobacco


Chewing tobacco has been a tradition in India for centuries. Of the total amount of tobacco produced in the country, around 48% is in the form of chewing tobacco, 38% as bidis, and only 14% as cigarettes. Thus, bidis, snuff and chewing tobacco (such as gutka, khaini and zarda) form the bulk (86%) of India's total tobacco production. In the rest of the world, production of cigarettes is 90% of total production of tobacco related products. The per capita consumption of cigarettes in India is merely a tenth of the world average. This unique tobacco consumption pattern is a combination of tradition and more importantly the tax imposed on cigarettes over the last 2 decades. Cigarette smokers pay almost 85% of the total tax revenues generated from tobacco. Read more

 

Budget Measures


  • The specific rate of excise duty on cigarettes is increased by 5 %.

  • Similarly, excise duty (excluding cess) on bidis, which was last fixed in 2001, will be raised from Rs 7 to Rs 11 per 1,000 for non-machine made bidis and from Rs 17 to Rs 24 per 1,000 for machine made bidis. However, there is an exemption from excise duty for unbranded bidis up to 2 m bidis in a year subject to fulfillment of the condition of declaration with the Department of Central Excise and regular monitoring.

  • Pan masala containing tobacco will continue to bear an excise duty of 66%. Also the exemption for pan masala containing tobacco and other tobacco products that is now given to units in the North Eastern States has been withdrawn.

  • 1% higher cess to be charged

  • Dividend distribution tax rate increased from 12.5% to 15%.

  • The dividend distribution tax on dividends paid by money market mutual funds and liquid mutual funds increased to 25 % for all investors.


     

    Budget Impact


  • Finance minister's strong support to the campaign "say no to tobacco" has created a negative impact on the tobacco sector. Excise increase on cigarettes will hit the sales of the cigarettes.

  • Increase in tariff on bidis will aid cigarette volumes.

  • As most companies have huge investments in the liquid funds, the higher tax on dividend distribution will reduce their other income.

  • The impact of higher tax (cess) on the industry is likely to lower net margins, albeit marginally.


     

    Sector Outlook


  • India is the second largest producer of tobacco. Out of the total tobacco produced in India, only one-third is flue-cured tobacco suitable for cigarette manufacturing. Most of the tobacco produce is suitable for the manufacture of chewing tobacco, bidis and other cheap tobacco products, which have no demand outside the country. Every year, the industry faces hike in excise duties, which then are passed on to consumers.

  • The companies continue to face tougher times due to government intervention. Going forward, this is likely to rise. However, considering that as per capita income increases and there is a change in the demographic profile of the populace, there is still some scope for growth for the industry.


     

    Company Outlook


  • Increase in excise duty to hit companies like ITC, Godfrey Phillips and VST industries.

  • Increase in tariff on bidis will help cigarette major ITC to increase its cigarette sales.


     

    Industry Wish List


  • Industry chambers favour that the specific excise duty structure based on the length of cigarettes should be maintained.

  • Additional excise duty (AED) to be replaced /reduced if VAT is implemented. It would be illogical to charge both the AED and VAT. AED was implemented to collect tax on behalf of states. Since states would anyway collect VAT directly, there is no reason to charge AED.

  • Specific policies should be announced to discourage smuggling of contraband cigarettes.

  • The tax rebates on investments in tobacco plantations in backward areas should be continued.

  • Custom duties to be maintained at 30.6%.


     

    Budget over the years


    Budget 2004-05 Budget 2005-06 Budget 2006-07

    Increase in excise duty on matches made in the mechanised/semi-mechanised sector from 8% without Cenvat credit to 16% with Cenvat credit

    Specific rates on cigarettes raised by 10%

    Surcharge of 10% imposed on ad valorem duties on other tobacco products including gutka, chewing tobacco, snuff and pan masala

    Excise on matches made by mechanized or semi-mechanized sectors reduced from 16% to 12%. However, no excise on hand made matches.

    Excise duty on cigarettes increased by 5%.

    Excise on unbranded other smoking tobacco and unmanufactured tobacco and tobacco substitutes at 16%.

    Tariff rate of excise duty on bidis increased.

    Excise exemption to small-scale smoking tobacco and tobacco substitute manufacturers restricted to Rs 1 m.

    Excise duty on all types of pan masala rationalized at 66%.

    [Read more on Budget 2004-05] [Read more on Budget 2005-06] [Read more on Budget 2006-07]

    Key Positives
  • Habitual industry: Despite high government intervention and campaigns against smoking along with high tax rates, the industry continues to thrive. Also, ban on smoking in public places and restrictive advertising has not stopped this industry from growing.

  • Excise an easy pass on: Since it is a habit industry, companies find it comparatively easy to pass on excise duty hikes. Last year, the government increased excise by 10%, but it was easily passed on to consumers, without demand being affected.

  • Per capita consumption ridiculously low: The per capita consumption of cigarettes in India is merely a tenth of the world average. Thus, as disposable incomes increase, people might shift from bidis to cigarettes and hence there lies a huge potential to convert. Being the No. 1 player in the segment, ITC is likely to be a big beneficiary of this change.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Heavily penalized through punitive taxation policies:  Cigarette companies pay roughly 50% of their revenues as excise. As a result, the share of cigarettes in total tobacco consumption has declined from 21% in 1981-82 to a mere 14% in 2004.

  • Domestic cigarette companies suffer a double whammy:  On the one hand, they are barred from sponsoring sports and cultural events and on the other hand, contraband cigarette volumes continue to thrive. Net result, volume growth is sluggish. In the last 20 years, tobacco consumption in non-cigarette varieties has increased especially in the chewing format by 68 m Kgs, and reduced in the cigarette format by 21 m Kgs.


    Budget Impact: Tobacco Sector Analysis for 2006-07 
    Latest:  Performance Of Tobacco Stocks |  Tobacco Sector Report

     

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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    AAYUSH FOOD & HERBS 264.0
    (1.5%)
    ADF FOODS 219.1
    (-3.2%)
    AGRO TECH FOODS 714.8
    (-2.6%)
    AMRIT CORPORATION 938.0
    (2.0%)
    ANDHRA SUGAR 104.0
    (-3.0%)
    ANIK INDUS. 54.2
    (1.4%)
    ANJANI FOODS 31.7
    (-0.6%)
    ANNAPURNA SWADISHT 360.0
    (-3.0%)
    ANS AGRO IND. 10.7
    (4.6%)
    ARUNA HOTELS 11.9
    (3.0%)
    ASHOK MASALA MART 21.2
    (-5.0%)
    ASSO.ALCOHOL 525.0
    (-2.3%)
    AVEER FOODS 530.0
    (-1.6%)
    B & A. 536.0
    (-2.5%)
    BAMBINO AGRO 355.0
    (-0.9%)
    BIKAJI FOODS 524.2
    (-1.5%)
    BOMBAY BURMAH 1,562.1
    (1.5%)
    BRITANNIA 5,060.8
    (6.7%)
    CCL PRODUCTS 583.0
    (-0.6%)
    CHORDIA FOOD 89.3
    (-3.0%)
    COASTAL CORPORATION 241.0
    (-5.2%)
    DANGEE DUMS 9.1
    (-0.5%)
    DEVYANI INTERNATIONAL 163.0
    (-1.5%)
    DFM FOODS 461.7
    (0.1%)
    DHUNSERI VENTURES 319.0
    (-1.2%)
    DIANA TEA CO 28.5
    (-3.9%)
    DODLA DAIRY 948.9
    (-1.9%)
    EMPYREAN CASHEWS 259.0
    (4.9%)
    FLEX FOODS 132.8
    (1.5%)
    FOODS & INNS 152.5
    (-4.1%)
    FRESHTROP FR 146.8
    (-2.2%)
    FUTURE CONSUMER 1.1
    (5.0%)
    G.M. BREWERIES 778.5
    (1.2%)
    GLOBUS SPIRITS 785.0
    (0.7%)
    GODFREY PHILLIPS 3,287.5
    (-3.0%)
    GOLDEN TOBACCO 40.9
    (-5.0%)
    GOODRICKE 179.4
    (-0.0%)
    GRM OVERSEAS 141.8
    (-2.6%)
    GULSHAN POLYOLS 212.4
    (3.4%)
    HALDER VENTURE LIMITED 554.2
    (-2.0%)
    HARR.MALAYALAM 183.0
    (-0.4%)
    HATSUN AGRO PROD. 1,065.0
    (-0.6%)
    HEALTHY LIFE 10.1
    (10.0%)
    HERITAGE FOOD 331.5
    (-0.4%)
    HIMALYA INT. 23.6
    (-3.5%)
    HINDUSTAN FOODS 503.6
    (-0.7%)
    HMA AGRO INDUSTRIES 57.8
    (-3.3%)
    IB INFOTECH 137.9
    (-5.0%)
    INDONG TEA COMPANY 23.0
    (4.5%)
    ITC 435.0
    (-0.3%)
    IVP 164.0
    (-1.9%)
    JAGATJIT IND 187.1
    (-1.5%)
    JAMES WARREN TEA 224.0
    (0.6%)
    JAYS HREE TEA 102.4
    (-2.7%)
    JETMALL SPICES 15.7
    (0.0%)
    JHANDEWALAS FOODS 176.9
    (4.9%)
    JOONKTOLLEE TEA 101.0
    (-1.6%)
    JUBILANT FOODWORKS 473.0
    (2.3%)
    KANCO TEA & INDUSTRIES 74.2
    (-3.5%)
    KMG MILKFOOD 31.8
    (-3.9%)
    KN AGRI RESOURCES 130.0
    (-1.7%)
    KOHINOOR FOODS 39.7
    (-3.1%)
    KORE FOODS 6.5
    (-5.5%)
    KOTHARI FERM 79.8
    (-1.3%)
    KOVIL.L.MILL 198.7
    (-0.8%)
    KRBL 290.3
    (-0.1%)
    LONGVIEW TEA 47.7
    (0.3%)
    LT FOODS 222.0
    (-0.9%)
    LYKIS 47.6
    (-0.8%)
    MANJUSHREE PLANTATIONS 447.3
    (0.2%)
    MCLEOD RUSSEL 24.9
    (-1.5%)
    MEGASTAR FOODS 284.9
    (-1.8%)
    MODERN DAIRIES 39.0
    (3.2%)
    MRS BECTORS FOOD 1,235.9
    (-3.1%)
    NEELAMALAI AGRO 3,814.0
    (0.2%)
    NESTLE 2,456.8
    (0.0%)
    NORBEN TEA 12.5
    (-2.7%)
    OVOBEL FOODS 222.0
    (-1.2%)
    PARAG MILK FOODS 204.4
    (-2.6%)
    PATANJALI FOODS 1,420.0
    (-2.2%)
    PRATAAP SNACKS 882.0
    (-0.3%)
    PRIMA AGRO 27.0
    (0.0%)
    PRIMA INDUSTRIES 22.9
    (4.4%)
    PRIME INDUST. 229.9
    (1.8%)
    PROGREX VENTURES 17.3
    (0.0%)
    R.T.EXPORTS 34.7
    (0.0%)
    RADICO KHAITAN 1,745.0
    (-1.8%)
    RAGHUNATH TO 18.7
    (-3.5%)
    RAVI KUMAR DIST. 24.4
    (0.9%)
    REAL REALTY MGMT. 36.7
    (0.5%)
    RESTAURANT BRANDS ASIA 103.3
    (-1.6%)
    RETRO GREEN 11.2
    (15.9%)
    RITESH INDUSTRIES 31.3
    (0.8%)
    ROSSELL INDIA 450.0
    (-3.2%)
    SABOO SODIUM 19.1
    (1.4%)
    SAMPRE NUTRITIONS 73.5
    (4.7%)
    SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA 1,386.8
    (-1.8%)
    SAPTARISHI A 21.0
    (-1.2%)
    SARVESHWAR FOODS 77.8
    (10.0%)
    SHAH FOODS 255.0
    (0.0%)
    SHEEL INTERN. 12.1
    (-7.3%)
    SHEETAL COOL PRODUCTS 401.7
    (-1.7%)
    SILVER OAK 62.5
    (-4.6%)
    SIMRAN FARMS 136.5
    (0.4%)
    SKM EGG PRODUCTS 283.0
    (-2.3%)
    SOM DISTILLERIES 306.0
    (-1.9%)
    SPECTRUM FOODS 29.2
    (-2.6%)
    SRIVARI SPICES 334.6
    (5.0%)
    SUMUKA AGRO 159.0
    (-0.3%)
    SUPER BAKERS 30.8
    (10.0%)
    SUPERIOR INDUS. 46.0
    (2.1%)
    SURAJ INDUSTRIES 82.0
    (-2.0%)
    SUVIDHA INFRA. 22.5
    (4.4%)
    SWOJAS ENERGY FOODS 13.6
    (2.0%)
    TANVI FOODS (INDIA) 225.0
    (2.0%)
    TATA COFFEE 344.8
    (3.6%)
    TERAI TEA CO 89.5
    (-1.6%)
    THE INDIAN WOOD PRODUCTS COMPANY 31.0
    (-1.1%)
    TILAKNAGAR IND. 231.0
    (-2.1%)
    TIRUPATI STARCH 156.0
    (0.1%)
    TRANSGLOBE FOOD 130.0
    (0.0%)
    UMANG DAIRIES 89.3
    (-3.7%)
    UNITED BREWERIES 2,002.9
    (-1.7%)
    UNITED SPIRITS 1,225.0
    (1.4%)
    VADILAL INDUSTRIES 4,707.2
    (0.6%)
    VENKYS 1,798.2
    (-0.8%)
    VST INDUSTRIES 3,873.4
    (-2.7%)
    WARREN TEA 48.0
    (0.7%)
    WESTLIFE FOODWORLD 845.0
    (0.6%)
    WINSOME BREW 32.3
    (5.0%)
    ZYDUS WELLNESS 1,630.0
    (-2.3%)

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