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Budget 2004-05: Tobacco


In India, 'bidis' and chewing tobacco account for 86% of tobacco consumed. Cigarettes account for the remaining. With such a skew, growth prospects are promising. But globally, the industry under scrutiny for health reasons. It is believed that the Indian tobacco sector is the least taxed on a relatively basis. Given this backdrop, can the growth momentum continue?

 Budget Measures


  • 2% education cess on direct and indirect tax
  • Focus on development of agriculture, infrastructure, education and health
  • 20% dividend distribution tax for corporates who invest in debt funds
  • Increase in excise duty on matches made in the mechanised/semi-mechanised sector from 8% without Cenvat credit to 16% with Cenvat credit

     Budget Impact


  • Though the tobacco companies will have to pay marginally higher tax, the fact that the Finance Minister did not raise any excise duties for cigarette companies was an overwhelming positive

  • The distribution tax on debt funds will have an adverse impact on the other income component of companies ITC, who have significant exposure to the debt markets.

  • No effect of hike in excise duty on matches, as companies like ITC only market matches sources from small scale industries (SSI)


     Sector Outlook


  • The fact that the FM did not hike excise duties on cigarettes is a big positive for companies like ITC. However, measures like ban on sponsorships by tobacco companies, ban on public smoking and virtually punitive taxation policy continues to put pressure on volume growth. Though the FM has given respite to tobacco this time, the question is whether this respite will continue over the long term. Overall, despite the negatives, we remain optimistic on the tobacco sector, it being a habit industry.


     Industry Wish List


  • Industry chambers favour that the specific excise duty structure based on the length of cigarettes should be continued.

  • Tobacco companies are hoping that a specific policy will be announced to discourage smuggling of contraband cigarettes.

  • The tax rebates on investments in tobacco plantations in backward areas should be continued.

  • Additional duty of excise (AED) on cigarettes at specific rates should continue even after implementation of VAT.


     Budget over the years


    Budget 2001-02 Budget 2002-03 Budget 2003-04
    Imposed 15% surcharge on excise duty for cigarettes

    Excise duty on 'bidis' increased from Rs 6 to Rs 7 per thousand bidis

    Total duty on pan masala increased to 55%-60%

    Tobacco products like chewing tobacco would be charged a total duty of 60%

    The excise duty structure remains more or less unchanged for tobacco sector

    Sales (value added tax) VAT increased to 16% on cigars and other value added tobacco products

    Excise duty on nicotine reduced from 16% to 8%.

    Henceforth, state levies cannot exceed 4% on tobacco

    Other than this, the excise duty structure has been more or less left untouched for tobacco sector

    [Read more on Budget 2001-02] [Read more on Budget 2002-03] [Read more on Budget 2003-04]

    Key Positives
  • It's a habit industry and hence, continues to thrive despite odds like punitive taxation, ban on smoking in public places and restrictive advertising.

  • Being a habit industry, it finds it comparatively easy to pass on excise duty hikes, though lately there have been signs of a resistance to price hikes.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Heavily penalized through punitive taxation policies. Cigarette companies pay roughly 50% of their revenues as excise. As a result, the share of cigarettes in total tobacco consumption has declined from 21% in 1981-82 to a mere 14% in 2003.

  • Domestic cigarette companies suffer a double whammy. On the one hand, they are barred from sponsoring sports and cultural events and on the other contraband cigarette volumes continue to thrive. Net result, volume growth is sluggish. In the last 20 years, tobacco consumption in non-cigarette varieties has increased especially in the chewing format by 68 m Kgs and reduced in the cigarette format by 21 m Kgs.


    Budget Impact: Tobacco Sector Analysis for 2004 | Tobacco Sector Analysis for 2005-06
    Latest: Performance Of Tobacco Stocks | Tobacco Sector Report

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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    AAYUSH FOOD & HERBS 279.8
    (2.0%)
    ADF FOODS 234.1
    (9.1%)
    AGRO TECH FOODS 714.3
    (-1.1%)
    AMRIT CORPORATION 938.0
    (2.0%)
    ANDHRA SUGAR 102.0
    (-2.4%)
    ANIK INDUS. 51.3
    (-0.5%)
    ANJANI FOODS 32.0
    (0.1%)
    ANNAPURNA SWADISHT 350.5
    (0.8%)
    ANS AGRO IND. 11.9
    (4.8%)
    ARUNA HOTELS 11.2
    (-2.4%)
    ASHOK MASALA MART 21.2
    (-5.0%)
    ASSO.ALCOHOL 510.9
    (-4.5%)
    AVEER FOODS 497.2
    (-2.5%)
    B & A. 549.8
    (4.7%)
    BAMBINO AGRO 335.5
    (-3.0%)
    BIKAJI FOODS 511.6
    (-2.0%)
    BOMBAY BURMAH 1,512.2
    (-4.0%)
    BRITANNIA 5,072.1
    (-3.1%)
    CCL PRODUCTS 577.7
    (-0.2%)
    CHORDIA FOOD 82.3
    (-7.5%)
    COASTAL CORPORATION 237.4
    (-3.2%)
    DANGEE DUMS 8.6
    (-2.3%)
    DEVYANI INTERNATIONAL 161.5
    (-0.6%)
    DFM FOODS 461.7
    (0.1%)
    DHUNSERI VENTURES 308.2
    (-1.3%)
    DIANA TEA CO 26.1
    (-2.0%)
    DODLA DAIRY 935.5
    (-2.1%)
    EMPYREAN CASHEWS 260.0
    (0.0%)
    FLEX FOODS 133.2
    (-3.4%)
    FOODS & INNS 144.2
    (-2.9%)
    FRESHTROP FR 140.1
    (-4.4%)
    FUTURE CONSUMER 1.2
    (4.4%)
    G.M. BREWERIES 747.1
    (-2.7%)
    GLOBUS SPIRITS 773.6
    (-0.2%)
    GODFREY PHILLIPS 3,450.9
    (4.5%)
    GOLDEN TOBACCO 40.9
    (-5.0%)
    GOODRICKE 174.3
    (-1.8%)
    GRM OVERSEAS 136.4
    (-3.6%)
    GULSHAN POLYOLS 195.9
    (-3.9%)
    HALDER VENTURE LIMITED 521.7
    (-2.0%)
    HARR.MALAYALAM 173.8
    (-3.2%)
    HATSUN AGRO PROD. 1,045.1
    (-2.5%)
    HEALTHY LIFE 11.2
    (-4.0%)
    HERITAGE FOOD 340.3
    (-5.2%)
    HIMALYA INT. 24.0
    (-5.2%)
    HINDUSTAN FOODS 494.7
    (-1.7%)
    HMA AGRO INDUSTRIES 56.6
    (-3.6%)
    IB INFOTECH 129.2
    (-4.9%)
    INDONG TEA COMPANY 22.8
    (-1.1%)
    ITC 425.2
    (-3.6%)
    IVP 161.4
    (2.0%)
    JAGATJIT IND 178.6
    (0.3%)
    JAMES WARREN TEA 221.3
    (2.5%)
    JAYS HREE TEA 100.5
    (-3.2%)
    JETMALL SPICES 16.0
    (1.8%)
    JHANDEWALAS FOODS 151.8
    (-5.0%)
    JOONKTOLLEE TEA 88.4
    (-7.3%)
    JUBILANT FOODWORKS 455.0
    (-2.8%)
    KANCO TEA & INDUSTRIES 71.8
    (-0.4%)
    KMG MILKFOOD 32.5
    (0.0%)
    KN AGRI RESOURCES 121.7
    (-3.1%)
    KOHINOOR FOODS 39.6
    (-5.7%)
    KORE FOODS 6.8
    (0.6%)
    KOTHARI FERM 75.5
    (-2.4%)
    KOVIL.L.MILL 194.3
    (-0.5%)
    KRBL 281.1
    (-1.6%)
    LONGVIEW TEA 41.6
    (-4.4%)
    LT FOODS 215.2
    (-1.7%)
    LYKIS 46.9
    (-0.3%)
    MANJUSHREE PLANTATIONS 447.3
    (0.2%)
    MCLEOD RUSSEL 24.1
    (-2.0%)
    MEGASTAR FOODS 284.1
    (-0.5%)
    MODERN DAIRIES 41.4
    (-0.4%)
    MRS BECTORS FOOD 1,210.6
    (-3.1%)
    NEELAMALAI AGRO 3,789.6
    (-0.6%)
    NESTLE 2,512.3
    (-1.0%)
    NORBEN TEA 12.4
    (2.0%)
    OVOBEL FOODS 230.8
    (4.5%)
    PARAG MILK FOODS 203.6
    (-0.3%)
    PATANJALI FOODS 1,354.6
    (-3.5%)
    PRATAAP SNACKS 884.2
    (-0.4%)
    PRIMA AGRO 26.4
    (1.3%)
    PRIMA INDUSTRIES 23.7
    (0.6%)
    PRIME INDUST. 205.8
    (-3.3%)
    PROGREX VENTURES 17.3
    (0.0%)
    R.T.EXPORTS 34.7
    (0.0%)
    RADICO KHAITAN 1,600.2
    (-4.1%)
    RAGHUNATH TO 18.1
    (-2.4%)
    RAVI KUMAR DIST. 23.1
    (-3.8%)
    REAL REALTY MGMT. 37.5
    (1.3%)
    RESTAURANT BRANDS ASIA 98.5
    (-3.2%)
    RETRO GREEN 10.7
    (-19.6%)
    RITESH INDUSTRIES 29.9
    (-1.3%)
    ROSSELL INDIA 465.4
    (4.7%)
    SABOO SODIUM 18.4
    (-0.4%)
    SAMPRE NUTRITIONS 65.8
    (-2.5%)
    SAPPHIRE FOODS INDIA 1,371.2
    (-2.5%)
    SAPTARISHI A 19.8
    (-1.0%)
    SARVESHWAR FOODS 77.8
    (10.0%)
    SHAH FOODS 249.9
    (-2.0%)
    SHEEL INTERN. 15.0
    (7.0%)
    SHEETAL COOL PRODUCTS 418.9
    (0.2%)
    SILVER OAK 63.1
    (-0.1%)
    SIMRAN FARMS 136.0
    (-0.7%)
    SKM EGG PRODUCTS 259.5
    (-4.7%)
    SOM DISTILLERIES 290.9
    (-4.0%)
    SPECTRUM FOODS 28.1
    (3.1%)
    SRIVARI SPICES 351.0
    (-4.9%)
    SUMUKA AGRO 154.8
    (-0.4%)
    SUPER BAKERS 30.8
    (10.0%)
    SUPERIOR INDUS. 49.0
    (0.0%)
    SURAJ INDUSTRIES 79.5
    (-4.5%)
    SUVIDHA INFRA. 23.6
    (5.0%)
    SWOJAS ENERGY FOODS 13.6
    (2.0%)
    TANVI FOODS (INDIA) 206.0
    (-8.4%)
    TATA COFFEE 344.8
    (3.6%)
    TERAI TEA CO 90.0
    (3.9%)
    THE INDIAN WOOD PRODUCTS COMPANY 30.8
    (-1.3%)
    TILAKNAGAR IND. 222.6
    (-4.0%)
    TIRUPATI STARCH 145.1
    (-9.3%)
    TRANSGLOBE FOOD 133.1
    (5.0%)
    UMANG DAIRIES 88.1
    (-1.3%)
    UNITED BREWERIES 1,911.3
    (-5.2%)
    UNITED SPIRITS 1,194.7
    (-3.4%)
    VADILAL INDUSTRIES 4,648.7
    (-4.5%)
    VENKYS 1,756.0
    (-1.2%)
    VST INDUSTRIES 3,753.3
    (-3.8%)
    WARREN TEA 49.0
    (-0.1%)
    WESTLIFE FOODWORLD 847.1
    (-2.2%)
    WINSOME BREW 36.3
    (2.0%)
    ZYDUS WELLNESS 1,698.9
    (-1.1%)

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