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Sensex Trades Volatile, Economy Slowing Down, and Top Stocks in Action
Mon, 6 May Pre-Open

On Friday, the Indian share markets settled in the negative territory amid a short but volatile week.

The BSE Sensex fell 18 points to settle at 38,963. TCS emerged as the top loser on the index with over 4% loss while Bharti Airtel ended as the biggest gainer.

The Nifty50 index settled at 11,712, down 13 points.

Among BSE sectoral indices, IT stocks fell the most by 1.9%, followed by FMCG stocks at 1%. HUL and TCS were among the top gainers.

Top Stocks in Action Today

Auto stocks will likely be in focus today major automobile producers reported a decline in sales numbers for the month.

Aviation stocks will also be in focus today as the aviation sector is witnessing a slowdown.

As per the credit rating agency ICRA, air traffic growth hit 5-year low in last financial year (FY19) at 11.6%, pulled down by low growth of 3.9% in the March quarter as against a healthy 14.9% in the first three quarters.


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Cargo traffic growth also moderated in the year to 6%, as against double-digits growth witnessed over the past two years.

India's Economy Slowing Down

The Finance Ministry in its monthly economic report for March has said that Indian economy slowed down slightly in the FY19, though it is still fastest growing major economy.

The proximate factors responsible for this slowdown include declining growth of private consumption, tepid increase in fixed investment, and muted exports. It further said that there is slowdown of growth in agriculture and sustained growth in industry as well as some challenges.

The Ministry said, the consumer and wholesale price indices declined in FY19, though inflation has firmed up slightly in recent months.

The current account deficit, as percentage of the GDP, improved in Q3 and is set to further improve in Q4 of FY19 as the dip in imports has improved the merchandise trade deficit.

In line with declining real GDP growth, private consumption in Q4 of FY19 has also declined as reflected in the drop of growth of two-wheeler sales towards the end of the year.

On the external front, the report said that the current account deficit as ratio to GDP is set to fall in Q4 of FY19, which will limit the leakage of growth impulse from the economy.

The monthly report said the fiscal deficit of the Central government has been gliding down to the FRBM target. Monetary policy has attempted to provide a fillip to the growth impulse through cuts in repo rate and easing of bank liquidity.

The room for this monetary easing has been created by low inflation in FY19, although it has started to inch up in last few months of the year.

The real effective exchange rate has appreciated in Q4 of FY19 and could pose challenges to the revival of exports in the near future. Increase in foreign exchange reserves in Q4 of 2018-19 on account of improvement in trade balance has increased the import cover for the economy.

It also pointed out that while Gross Fiscal Deficit of the Centre has steadily declined in last few years, capital expenditure has been volatile.

One way of gauging the government's financial health is by looking at the fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP.

It has been in line with the government's stated aim of bringing the fiscal deficit down. Now, how this pans out going forward remains to be seen.

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