Amid a tumultuous market landscape marked by rate hikes, inflationary pressures, weak global growth projections, and a persistent liquidity crisis in US and European banks, the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector has emerged as the lone ranger in the positive territory in the current calendar year.
The Nifty FMCG and BSE FMCG index has recorded an uptick of approximately 5.3% and 4.9%, respectively, in 2023, in contrast to the benchmark indices.
Benchmark indices, on the other hand, have suffered a decline of 2% over the same time.
The sector's robust performance can be attributed to its defensive attributes, which make it less vulnerable to market fluctuations.
However, despite the sector's upbeat performance, FMCG company, Marico, was unable to keep up with the broader sectoral trend and underperformed in 2023.
The company's shares are currently trading lower by 6.4% so far in 2023, and recently touched their 52-week low last week on 19 April 2023.
Let's find out why the stock is under pressure.
According to Marico's recent statement regarding Q4, the company expects its consolidated revenue to show low single-digit growth in the March 2023 quarter compared to the same period last year.
Despite remaining stable sequentially, the Saffola franchise recorded a year-on-year decline due to a high absolute volume base.
In terms of the Indian business, Parachute Coconut Oil is anticipated to report robust high single-digit volume growth, supported by consistent consumer pricing and stable copra prices throughout the quarter.
Furthermore, value-added hair oils experienced double-digit value growth.
The company also reported that the food segment has continued to scale up well, and the premium personal care segment has grown in double digits.
Following this muted Q4 update, shares of the company fell.
Going forward, Marico's domestic business is expected to perform better than its international operations, driven by robust growth in the company's core categories, such as hair oils and foods.
Marico has been investing heavily in expanding its digital capabilities and e-commerce presence to cater to changing consumer habits and preferences.
The company has also been focusing on sustainability and responsible sourcing practices, which has helped it earn recognition and accolades from various industry bodies.
Also, the company expects a gradual recovery in year-on-year volume trends, with stability in urban and premium categories.
This is in line with the best FMCG stocks, which has also witnessed a gradual recovery with improving year-on-year volume trends in each quarter.
The stability of urban and premium categories is a positive sign, and the easing of broader commodity inflation is expected to contribute to overall consumption trends, particularly in rural markets.
Further, a reduction in the input prices is expected to benefit consumer goods companies by easing margin pressures in the coming quarters.
Additionally, a good monsoon will provide some boost to rural consumption, which might act as a key re-rating point for the FMCG sector.
Marico shares have declined by more than 6% in 2023. Over six months, the company's shares have been trading lower by 8%.
Marico touched its 52-week high of Rs 554.4 on 23 September 2022 while it touched a 52-week low of Rs 462.7 on 20 April 2023.
Marico Limited is one of India's leading consumer products companies operating in the beauty and wellness space.
Currently present in 25 countries across emerging markets of Asia and Africa, Marico has nurtured multiple brands in the categories of hair care, skin care, edible oils, health foods, male grooming, and fabric care.
Marico Limited is present in the skin care services segment through Kaya Skin Clinics.
Marico's India business markets household brands such as Parachute, Saffola, Nihar, Livon, Set Wet, and many more.
To know more about Marico, check out the company factsheet and the latest quarterly results.
You can also compare Marico with its peers -
And to know what's moving the Indian stock markets today, check out the most recent share market updates here.
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Based on marketcap, these are the top FMCG companies in India:
You can see the full list of FMCG stocks here.
And for a fundamental analysis of the above companies, check out Equitymaster’s Indian stock screener which has a separate screen for best FMCG stocks in India.
Within the FMCG sector, the top gainers were JAY KAILASH NAMKEEN LTD. (up 9.8%) and GILLETTE INDIA (up 5.2%). On the other hand, SRIVARI SPICES & FOODS LTD. - RE (down 19.5%) and DINDIGUL FARM PRODUCT LTD. (down 5.0%) were among the top losers.
For more, please visit the BSE FMCG index live chart and also check out our FMCG sector report.
Investing in stocks requires careful analysis of financial data to find out a company's true worth. However, an easier way to find out about a company's performance is to look at its financial ratios.
Two commonly used financial ratios used in the valuation of stocks are -
Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E) - It compares the company's stock price with its earnings per share. The higher the P/E ratio, the more expensive the stock.
Price to Book Value Ratio (P/BV) - It compares a firm's market capitalization to its book value. A high P/BV indicates markets believe the company's assets to be undervalued and vice versa.
To know more about the FMCG sector's past and ongoing performance, have a look at the performance of the Nifty FMCG Index and BSE FMCG Index.
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