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Budget 2006-07: Steel


Being a core sector, steel industry tracks the overall economic growth in the long-term. Also, steel demand, being derived from other sectors like automobiles, consumer durables and infrastructure, its fortune is dependent on the growth of these user industries. India is currently the ninth largest steel-producing nation in the world. However, it has a per capita consumption of steel of around 30 kgs as against 210 kgs in China and an average of over 400 kgs in the developed countries. Read more

 Budget Measures


  • Customs duty on ferro alloys, stainless steel and other alloy steel has been reduced from 10% to 7.5%.

     Budget Impact


  • The reduction in customs duties on certain forms of steel will exert pressure on steel companies' intentions of raising prices. However, the effect of this would be more prominent in times of cyclical downturns. With steel cycle already displaying signs of weakness, this is a negative.


     Sector Outlook


  • In line with what we had expected last year, the steel cycle has displayed signs of weakness over the last few quarters. We continue to remain cautious towards the steel sector in the medium-term owing to various reasons. We believe that the steel cycle has peaked and with various domestic and global capacity expansion plans taking shape coupled with China, the biggest consumer of steel and driver of steel prices in the past having become a net exporter of steel, would continue to keep steel prices under pressure. Indian steel majors have already announced aggressive capacity expansion plans. While steel demand in India is expected to grow in the region of 5% to 6% in the long-term, it may not be able to absorb the capacity additions being planned within the country.


     Budget over the years


    Budget 2003-04 Budget 2004-05 Budget 2005-06

    Finance minister reaffirmed the thrust on infrastructure development by announcing new infrastructure projects.

    Peak customs duty reduced from 30% to 25%.

    Decrease in freight rate by 5.3%. Confessional freight for short distance transportation.

    Tax sops maintained for the housing sector.

    Surcharge on corporate tax halved from the current 5% to 2.5%.

    Excise duty raised on iron and steel from 8% to 12%.

    Customs duty reduced from 15% to 10% on all primary, semi-finished and finished forms of iron and steel like ingots and billets, sponge iron, hot rolled and cold rolled bars/rods/coils of non-alloy steel (other than seconds and defectives).

    Customs duty on industry raw materials such as catalysts and refractory raw materials reduced from 15% to 10%.

    Excise duty on steel raised to 16%.

    Customs duty on ferro-alloys and stainless steel and other alloy steel reduced from 15% to 10

    Duty on coking coal with high ash content reduced from 15% to 5%.

    Duty on primary and secondary metals reduced from 15% to 10%.

    Customs duty reduced from 20% to 15% on ferro alloys, stainless steel and other alloy steel, excluding seconds and defectives.

    The budget is silent on the restoration of the duty entitlement pass book (DEPB) scheme applicable to steel exporters.

    A surcharge of 2% on account of education cess will be imposed on corporate tax.

    [Read more on Budget 2003-04] [Read more on Budget 2004-05] [Read more on Budget 2005-06]

    Key Positives
  • Growth potential:  The per capita steel consumption in India is abysmally low at around 30 kgs as compared to 210 kgs of China and over 400 kgs in the developed countries. This wide gap in relative steel consumption indicates that the potential ahead for India to raise its steel consumption is high.

  • Continued demand:  Meteoric rise in steel prices since 2003 until early 2005 helped the domestic steel companies immensely as many of them managed to reduce their debt burden considerably, helping them either turn into profits or increase the same significantly. Going forward, the demand for the metal is likely to sustain on the back of continuing demand from the US and other South East Asian nations.

  • Domestic help:  A robust housing and infrastructure sector, with growth potential in the auto and the consumer durables sectors is likely to be a big positive for the domestic steel sector.

  • India advantage:   Indian steel producers are one of the lowest cost producers in the world, which provides them a hedge against fall in prices. Further, relatively efficient and vertically integrated companies like Tisco are likely to be in a better position to weather any steel downturn.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Fragmented industry:   While there have been concerted efforts to bring in control the fragmented nature of the industry through consolidation and closures, the problem continues to persist. Further, the biggest threat to the industry remains from the cyclicality of the sector, which could put immense pressure on steel prices if steel consumption shows signs of faltering or supply exceeds the demand considerably.

  • Capped benefits:   Indian steel companies have to bear additional costs pertaining to capital equipment, power and inefficiencies (low per employee productivity). This has capped the edge they would have otherwise enjoyed due to availability of cheap labour and raw materials.

  • Import threat:   Another possible threat to the domestic steel sector continues to be from dumping by international companies. With wide spread capacity expansions taking place across the globe and the protection to domestic steel companies being progressively reduced with consistent reduction in custom duties, international steel companies might look at markets to dump their products. In such a scenario, Indian companies stand to lose due to lack of competition in terms of size.


    Budget Impact: Steel Sector Analysis for 2005-06 | Steel Sector Analysis for 2007-08
    Latest: Performance Of Steel Stocks | Steel Sector Report

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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    ABC GAS 111.2
    (0.0%)
    ADHUNIK INDUSTRIES 43.7
    (0.5%)
    ADITYA ULTRA STEEL LTD. 51.8
    (-0.5%)
    AEROFLEX INDUSTRIES 181.2
    (0.6%)
    AERPACE INDUSTRIES 45.7
    (2.0%)
    ANKIT METAL 3.5
    (3.9%)
    APL APOLLO TUBES 1,464.8
    (-0.5%)
    ASHIANA ISP. 46.5
    (7.9%)
    ASSOCIATED CERAMICS LTD. 288.0
    (5.0%)
    AURO IMPEX 70.4
    (1.3%)
    BALASORE ALLOYS 6.3
    (0.2%)
    BANSAL ROOFING PRODUCTS 93.6
    (-2.0%)
    BANSAL WIRE INDUSTRIES LTD. 413.2
    (0.6%)
    BEEKAY STEEL IND. 623.8
    (-0.2%)
    BHARAT WIRE ROPES 223.1
    (4.3%)
    BIHAR SPONGE 14.0
    (-2.9%)
    BINANI INDUSTRIES 15.4
    (3.6%)
    BLOOM INDUS. 39.4
    (-2.0%)
    BMW INDUSTRIES 57.1
    (0.8%)
    BOMBAY WIRE ROPES 61.2
    (7.3%)
    CAPTAIN TECHNOCAST 390.0
    (13.9%)
    CHAMAN METALLICS LTD. 113.6
    (-0.6%)
    CHENNAI FERROUS IND. 132.5
    (1.4%)
    COSMIC CRF 1,438.8
    (3.4%)
    CREATIVE CASTINGS 718.1
    (-0.6%)
    CRIMSON METAL 10.3
    (5.0%)
    CUBEX TUBING 90.5
    (1.1%)
    D P WIRES 373.1
    (-1.2%)
    DALMIA REFRACTORIES LTD. 2,883.0
    (-7.4%)
    DE NEERS TOOLS 339.2
    (4.5%)
    DEEM ROLL-TECH LTD. 78.0
    (-2.5%)
    DEEPTI ALLOY STEEL 58.0
    (0.1%)
    DHATRE UDYOG 11.9
    (-2.7%)
    DP WIRES 373.1
    (-1.3%)
    EARTHSTAHL & ALLOYS 42.2
    (0.5%)
    EAST COAST STEEL 20.8
    (5.0%)
    ELANGO INDUS 12.3
    (-5.0%)
    ELECTROSTEEL STEELS 31.1
    (-4.9%)
    EURO PANEL PRODUCTS 185.3
    (0.5%)
    EXCELLENT WIRES AND PACKAGING LTD. 67.0
    (0.5%)
    FACOR ALLOYS 5.8
    (-4.7%)
    GALLANTT METAL 319.5
    (3.6%)
    GANDHI SPECIAL TUBES 765.1
    (-1.0%)
    GODAWARI POWER 186.0
    (-0.6%)
    GOODLUCK INDIA 925.4
    (-1.6%)
    GOPAL IRON & STL. 7.6
    (1.3%)
    GRAND FOUNDRY 8.6
    (0.0%)
    GRAVITA INDIA 2,090.6
    (-2.8%)
    GUJ.INTRUX 475.9
    (3.9%)
    GUJARAT NATURAL RESOURCES 26.3
    (-1.5%)
    HARIOM PIPE 566.6
    (0.7%)
    HEERA ISPAT 8.8
    (-1.6%)
    HI-TECH PIPES 165.8
    (0.5%)
    HINDUSTAN COPPER 263.2
    (-0.6%)
    HINDUSTHAN UDYOG LTD. 3.3
    (4.8%)
    HISAR METAL 164.6
    (-1.4%)
    IFGL REFRACTORIES 485.0
    (-0.4%)
    INDIAN BRIGHT 169.8
    (1.0%)
    INDIAN METALS 759.2
    (-1.8%)
    INDSIL HYDROPOWER 51.1
    (5.3%)
    INDUCTO STEEL 65.0
    (-1.5%)
    INTERARCH BUILDING PRODUCTS LTD. 1,543.1
    (-0.2%)
    INVESTMENT & PREC. 818.0
    (2.1%)
    ISMT 120.2
    (-5.6%)
    JAI BALAJI INDUS 922.9
    (1.3%)
    JAI CORP 297.0
    (-0.2%)
    JAINAM FERRO ALLOYS (I) LTD. 153.9
    (7.5%)
    JAYASWAL NECO 38.5
    (-4.3%)
    JINDAL SAW 300.3
    (-1.1%)
    JINDAL STAINLESS 686.5
    (-0.4%)
    JINDAL STAINLESS (HISAR) 560.8
    (3.6%)
    JINDAL STEEL & POWER 865.6
    (-2.3%)
    JSW STEEL 947.7
    (-0.2%)
    KACHCHH MINERALS 28.4
    (4.2%)
    KALANA ISPAT LTD. 35.1
    (-2.2%)
    KALYANI CAST TECH LTD. 472.7
    (-1.7%)
    KALYANI FORGE 558.3
    (5.0%)
    KALYANI STEELS 767.4
    (1.8%)
    KAMDHENU ISPAT 478.8
    (-1.5%)
    KANISHK STEEL 35.0
    (1.7%)
    KIC METALLICS 42.5
    (-0.8%)
    KIRL.FERROUS 595.4
    (0.3%)
    KRIDHAN INFRA 4.2
    (-0.2%)
    LGB FORGE 10.0
    (-3.0%)
    LLOYDS METALS 949.5
    (2.6%)
    M.M.FORGINGS 469.5
    (4.3%)
    MAGNA ELECTR 994.3
    (4.0%)
    MAHAMAYA STEEL 230.0
    (2.8%)
    MAHARASHTRA SEAMLESS 610.0
    (-0.0%)
    MAIDEN FORGINGS LTD. 78.5
    (-0.6%)
    MAITHAN ALLOYS 1,073.1
    (-2.0%)
    MANAKSIA STEELS 61.7
    (-0.8%)
    MANGALAM WORLDWIDE LTD. 161.5
    (0.9%)
    MARATHWADA REFRACT 578.0
    (1.2%)
    METAL COATING 82.7
    (-2.5%)
    METALYST FORGINGS 4.1
    (-4.9%)
    MEWAT ZINC 143.3
    (4.9%)
    MFS INTERCORP 19.7
    (-2.0%)
    MISHRA DHATU NIGAM 318.5
    (-0.1%)
    MODERN STEEL 19.7
    (-0.8%)
    MONNET IND. 16.4
    (5.0%)
    MORGANITE CRUC 1,714.9
    (0.8%)
    MSP STEEL & POWER 41.8
    (0.9%)
    MUKAND 132.4
    (1.7%)
    MUKAT PIPES 21.3
    (0.2%)
    N.D. METAL 102.0
    (0.0%)
    NALWA SONS INV 9,390.8
    (0.2%)
    NANAVATI VENTURES 44.5
    (2.0%)
    NATIONAL FITTINGS 132.5
    (3.8%)
    NELCAST. 112.4
    (3.6%)
    NILACHAL REFRACT. 41.3
    (-3.6%)
    NILE. 2,075.0
    (0.0%)
    NMDC STEEL 44.0
    (-0.0%)
    NOVA IRON & STEEL 18.3
    (3.3%)
    NUPUR RECYCLERS 106.9
    (3.0%)
    OM INFRA 138.2
    (2.2%)
    ORIENT CERATECH 42.7
    (1.3%)
    OWAIS METAL & MINERAL PROCESSING LTD. 1,241.6
    (7.0%)
    P.M. TELELINNKS 5.3
    (-3.1%)
    PACT INDUSTRIES 1.4
    (4.6%)
    PENNAR INDUSTRIES 181.3
    (-0.8%)
    POCL ENTERPRISES 187.9
    (2.0%)
    POKARNA 1,034.1
    (-2.1%)
    PRADHIN 29.2
    (0.7%)
    PRAKASH STEELAGE 8.1
    (1.6%)
    QUALITY FOILS (INDIA) LTD. 90.0
    (-1.1%)
    RAASI REFRACTORIES 19.6
    (-4.9%)
    RAJDARSHAN 47.7
    (2.5%)
    RAJRATAN GLOBAL WIRE 511.2
    (0.7%)
    RAM RAT.WIRE 594.1
    (2.6%)
    RAMA STEEL TUBES 12.3
    (1.6%)
    RATHI BARS 41.8
    (-1.0%)
    RATHI STEEL 44.5
    (-0.2%)
    RATNAMANI METALS 3,405.7
    (-1.4%)
    RATNAVEER PRECISION ENGINEERING LTD. 241.2
    (4.2%)
    REFRACTORY SHAPES LTD. 113.5
    (-2.0%)
    REMI EDELSTAHL TUBULARS 93.8
    (1.4%)
    RHETAN TMT 18.9
    (1.8%)
    RHI MAGNESITA 517.4
    (-0.3%)
    RIDDHI STEEL & TUBE 128.5
    (-1.9%)
    RUCHI STRIPS 35.5
    (2.0%)
    RUDRA GLOBAL 45.3
    (0.7%)
    SAIL 111.4
    (-1.3%)
    SAL STEEL 25.2
    (-0.8%)
    SARDA ENERGY & MINERALS 408.6
    (-3.5%)
    SARTHAK METALS 155.6
    (6.2%)
    SH.STEEL WIR 41.8
    (7.7%)
    SHAH ALLOYS 70.4
    (5.0%)
    SHAH METACORP 4.3
    (-1.8%)
    SHALIMAR WIRE 24.5
    (4.3%)
    SHARDA ISPAT 360.6
    (-5.0%)
    SHARP CHUCKS & MACHINES LTD. 131.7
    (-0.3%)
    SHIV.BIMETAL 581.9
    (-3.2%)
    SHRI BAJRANG ALLOYS 199.8
    (1.9%)
    SHYAM METALICS AND ENERGY 823.9
    (1.9%)
    SIMPLEX CASTINGS 326.6
    (-0.1%)
    SP REFRACTORIES LTD. 172.9
    (-2.0%)
    SRU STEELS 7.4
    (1.5%)
    STEEL EXCHANGE 10.3
    (0.6%)
    STEEL STRIPS INFRA 32.2
    (-0.8%)
    STEELCAST 749.9
    (1.3%)
    SUNFLAG IRON & STEEL 197.6
    (0.3%)
    SURAJ PRODUCTS 490.0
    (-2.6%)
    SURAJ STAINLESS 449.0
    (2.8%)
    SURANI STEEL TUBES 145.2
    (-20.0%)
    SURYA ROSHNI 565.7
    (2.1%)
    SWASTIK PIPES LTD. 56.1
    (-0.4%)
    T.N.STEEL TU 21.7
    (5.0%)
    TATA METALIK 1,090.2
    (3.0%)
    TATA STEEL 139.5
    (-1.3%)
    TATA STEEL BSL 85.6
    (-1.4%)
    TATA STEEL LONG PROD 829.5
    (0.3%)
    TAYO ROLLS 86.8
    (1.0%)
    THAAI CASTING LTD. 147.3
    (1.7%)
    TINPLATE 430.5
    (-0.5%)
    TRANSTEEL SEATING TECH 95.2
    (-2.3%)
    TULSYAN NEC 76.2
    (-1.4%)
    UNI ABEX 3,012.1
    (0.1%)
    UNISON METALS 23.0
    (0.0%)
    USHA MARTIN 394.2
    (2.6%)
    VALLABH STEEL 10.8
    (-4.9%)
    VASWANI INDUSTRIES 49.1
    (-0.1%)
    VBC FERRO 40.4
    (1.0%)
    VENUS PIPES & TUBES 1,613.9
    (0.3%)
    VIBHOR STEEL TUBES LTD. 209.5
    (-0.6%)
    VISA STEEL 36.0
    (4.7%)
    VRAJ IRON & STEEL LTD. 220.4
    (3.0%)
    WELCAST 1,365.0
    (0.3%)
    WELSPUN SPECIALTY 43.5
    (0.4%)
    WESTERN MINISTIL LTD. 0.4
    (4.8%)

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