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Budget 2006-07: Steel


Being a core sector, steel industry tracks the overall economic growth in the long-term. Also, steel demand, being derived from other sectors like automobiles, consumer durables and infrastructure, its fortune is dependent on the growth of these user industries. India is currently the ninth largest steel-producing nation in the world. However, it has a per capita consumption of steel of around 30 kgs as against 210 kgs in China and an average of over 400 kgs in the developed countries. Read more

 Budget Measures


  • Customs duty on ferro alloys, stainless steel and other alloy steel has been reduced from 10% to 7.5%.

     Budget Impact


  • The reduction in customs duties on certain forms of steel will exert pressure on steel companies' intentions of raising prices. However, the effect of this would be more prominent in times of cyclical downturns. With steel cycle already displaying signs of weakness, this is a negative.


     Sector Outlook


  • In line with what we had expected last year, the steel cycle has displayed signs of weakness over the last few quarters. We continue to remain cautious towards the steel sector in the medium-term owing to various reasons. We believe that the steel cycle has peaked and with various domestic and global capacity expansion plans taking shape coupled with China, the biggest consumer of steel and driver of steel prices in the past having become a net exporter of steel, would continue to keep steel prices under pressure. Indian steel majors have already announced aggressive capacity expansion plans. While steel demand in India is expected to grow in the region of 5% to 6% in the long-term, it may not be able to absorb the capacity additions being planned within the country.


     Budget over the years


    Budget 2003-04 Budget 2004-05 Budget 2005-06

    Finance minister reaffirmed the thrust on infrastructure development by announcing new infrastructure projects.

    Peak customs duty reduced from 30% to 25%.

    Decrease in freight rate by 5.3%. Confessional freight for short distance transportation.

    Tax sops maintained for the housing sector.

    Surcharge on corporate tax halved from the current 5% to 2.5%.

    Excise duty raised on iron and steel from 8% to 12%.

    Customs duty reduced from 15% to 10% on all primary, semi-finished and finished forms of iron and steel like ingots and billets, sponge iron, hot rolled and cold rolled bars/rods/coils of non-alloy steel (other than seconds and defectives).

    Customs duty on industry raw materials such as catalysts and refractory raw materials reduced from 15% to 10%.

    Excise duty on steel raised to 16%.

    Customs duty on ferro-alloys and stainless steel and other alloy steel reduced from 15% to 10

    Duty on coking coal with high ash content reduced from 15% to 5%.

    Duty on primary and secondary metals reduced from 15% to 10%.

    Customs duty reduced from 20% to 15% on ferro alloys, stainless steel and other alloy steel, excluding seconds and defectives.

    The budget is silent on the restoration of the duty entitlement pass book (DEPB) scheme applicable to steel exporters.

    A surcharge of 2% on account of education cess will be imposed on corporate tax.

    [Read more on Budget 2003-04] [Read more on Budget 2004-05] [Read more on Budget 2005-06]

    Key Positives
  • Growth potential:  The per capita steel consumption in India is abysmally low at around 30 kgs as compared to 210 kgs of China and over 400 kgs in the developed countries. This wide gap in relative steel consumption indicates that the potential ahead for India to raise its steel consumption is high.

  • Continued demand:  Meteoric rise in steel prices since 2003 until early 2005 helped the domestic steel companies immensely as many of them managed to reduce their debt burden considerably, helping them either turn into profits or increase the same significantly. Going forward, the demand for the metal is likely to sustain on the back of continuing demand from the US and other South East Asian nations.

  • Domestic help:  A robust housing and infrastructure sector, with growth potential in the auto and the consumer durables sectors is likely to be a big positive for the domestic steel sector.

  • India advantage:   Indian steel producers are one of the lowest cost producers in the world, which provides them a hedge against fall in prices. Further, relatively efficient and vertically integrated companies like Tisco are likely to be in a better position to weather any steel downturn.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Fragmented industry:   While there have been concerted efforts to bring in control the fragmented nature of the industry through consolidation and closures, the problem continues to persist. Further, the biggest threat to the industry remains from the cyclicality of the sector, which could put immense pressure on steel prices if steel consumption shows signs of faltering or supply exceeds the demand considerably.

  • Capped benefits:   Indian steel companies have to bear additional costs pertaining to capital equipment, power and inefficiencies (low per employee productivity). This has capped the edge they would have otherwise enjoyed due to availability of cheap labour and raw materials.

  • Import threat:   Another possible threat to the domestic steel sector continues to be from dumping by international companies. With wide spread capacity expansions taking place across the globe and the protection to domestic steel companies being progressively reduced with consistent reduction in custom duties, international steel companies might look at markets to dump their products. In such a scenario, Indian companies stand to lose due to lack of competition in terms of size.


    Budget Impact: Steel Sector Analysis for 2005-06 | Steel Sector Analysis for 2007-08
    Latest: Performance Of Steel Stocks | Steel Sector Report

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    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    ABC GAS 87.2
    (5.0%)
    ADHUNIK INDUSTRIES 39.0
    (-1.3%)
    AEROFLEX INDUSTRIES 141.9
    (0.8%)
    AERPACE INDUSTRIES 19.7
    (-2.0%)
    ANKIT METAL 3.9
    (-1.8%)
    APL APOLLO TUBES 1,669.2
    (-1.7%)
    ASHIANA ISP. 43.3
    (2.1%)
    AURO IMPEX 77.6
    (-2.9%)
    BALASORE ALLOYS 6.3
    (0.2%)
    BANSAL ROOFING PRODUCTS 85.5
    (-0.9%)
    BEEKAY STEEL IND. 613.9
    (-0.8%)
    BHARAT WIRE ROPES 270.4
    (-0.5%)
    BIHAR SPONGE 16.0
    (4.3%)
    BINANI INDUSTRIES 17.9
    (5.0%)
    BLOOM INDUS. 25.6
    (1.0%)
    BMW INDUSTRIES 63.8
    (-0.3%)
    BOMBAY WIRE ROPES 63.0
    (2.1%)
    CAPTAIN TECHNOCAST 210.0
    (4.5%)
    CHAMAN METALLICS LTD. 74.7
    (2.1%)
    CHENNAI FERROUS IND. 126.8
    (-2.7%)
    COSMIC CRF 1,116.7
    (5.0%)
    CREATIVE CASTINGS 760.0
    (1.4%)
    CRIMSON METAL 8.9
    (-4.5%)
    CUBEX TUBING 107.3
    (2.0%)
    D P WIRES 504.7
    (-0.3%)
    DALMIA REFRACTORIES LTD. 0.0
    (0.0%)
    DE NEERS TOOLS 208.1
    (-0.2%)
    DEEM ROLL-TECH LTD. 108.0
    (0.9%)
    DEEPTI ALLOY STEEL 39.0
    (5.0%)
    DHATRE UDYOG 20.6
    (0.4%)
    DP WIRES 505.2
    (-0.3%)
    EARTHSTAHL & ALLOYS 46.9
    (3.7%)
    EAST COAST STEEL 27.0
    (-2.9%)
    ELANGO INDUS 10.6
    (5.0%)
    ELECTROSTEEL STEELS 31.1
    (-4.9%)
    EURO PANEL PRODUCTS 182.0
    (-0.1%)
    FACOR ALLOYS 7.9
    (3.7%)
    GALLANTT METAL 291.9
    (3.7%)
    GANDHI SPECIAL TUBES 847.4
    (-1.0%)
    GODAWARI POWER 917.3
    (0.9%)
    GOODLUCK INDIA 932.9
    (4.2%)
    GOPAL IRON & STL. 7.9
    (3.5%)
    GRAND FOUNDRY 11.0
    (4.9%)
    GRAVITA INDIA 966.8
    (0.7%)
    GUJ.INTRUX 314.8
    (0.3%)
    GYSCOAL ALLOYS 3.9
    (1.0%)
    HARIOM PIPE 605.9
    (-2.8%)
    HEERA ISPAT 8.2
    (2.3%)
    HI-TECH PIPES 126.4
    (1.0%)
    HINDUSTAN COPPER 388.1
    (1.0%)
    HISAR METAL 209.3
    (-0.1%)
    IFGL REFRACTORIES 733.3
    (-0.7%)
    INDIAN BRIGHT 158.9
    (5.0%)
    INDIAN METALS 739.0
    (2.4%)
    INDSIL HYDROPOWER 58.2
    (4.8%)
    INDUCTO STEEL 64.0
    (4.9%)
    INVESTMENT & PREC. 652.0
    (1.2%)
    ISMT 124.1
    (-2.6%)
    JAI BALAJI INDUS 969.1
    (0.8%)
    JAI CORP 300.2
    (0.3%)
    JAINAM FERRO ALLOYS (I) LTD. 140.0
    (-5.0%)
    JAYASWAL NECO 48.6
    (-1.1%)
    JINDAL SAW 552.6
    (0.4%)
    JINDAL STAINLESS 703.6
    (-0.4%)
    JINDAL STAINLESS (HISAR) 560.8
    (3.6%)
    JINDAL STEEL & POWER 1,016.3
    (0.1%)
    JSW STEEL 891.0
    (-1.8%)
    KACHCHH MINERALS 34.1
    (1.8%)
    KALYANI CAST TECH LTD. 517.9
    (0.5%)
    KALYANI FORGE 442.4
    (1.6%)
    KALYANI STEELS 849.2
    (0.4%)
    KAMDHENU ISPAT 519.8
    (2.1%)
    KANISHK STEEL 33.8
    (3.1%)
    KIC METALLICS 51.8
    (1.9%)
    KIRL.FERROUS 690.3
    (-4.8%)
    KRIDHAN INFRA 4.6
    (4.8%)
    LESHA STEELS 19.4
    (0.6%)
    LGB FORGE 9.9
    (-0.1%)
    LLOYDS METALS 706.3
    (-0.7%)
    M.M.FORGINGS 1,119.7
    (-0.3%)
    MAGNA ELECTR 446.1
    (0.0%)
    MAHAMAYA STEEL 112.2
    (-2.1%)
    MAHARASHTRA SEAMLESS 837.0
    (3.1%)
    MAIDEN FORGINGS LTD. 102.6
    (0.5%)
    MAITHAN ALLOYS 1,317.5
    (0.2%)
    MANAKSIA STEELS 61.0
    (0.3%)
    MANGALAM WORLDWIDE LTD. 153.0
    (3.1%)
    MARATHWADA REFRACT 415.0
    (4.0%)
    METAL COATING 90.9
    (4.8%)
    METALYST FORGINGS 4.1
    (-4.9%)
    MEWAT ZINC 168.1
    (-0.9%)
    MFS INTERCORP 7.3
    (-0.3%)
    MISHRA DHATU NIGAM 476.5
    (3.3%)
    MODERN STEEL 23.0
    (3.5%)
    MONNET IND. 25.5
    (3.3%)
    MORGANITE CRUC 1,711.2
    (1.1%)
    MSP STEEL & POWER 26.4
    (2.9%)
    MUKAND 162.9
    (0.1%)
    MUKAT PIPES 14.2
    (4.7%)
    N.D. METAL 108.7
    (0.0%)
    NALWA SONS INV 3,457.5
    (-0.0%)
    NANAVATI VENTURES 49.5
    (0.4%)
    NATIONAL FITTINGS 126.7
    (3.1%)
    NELCAST. 145.5
    (0.8%)
    NILACHAL REFRACT. 56.7
    (-0.5%)
    NILE. 1,326.9
    (1.1%)
    NMDC STEEL 65.5
    (0.5%)
    NOVA IRON & STEEL 26.5
    (0.7%)
    NUPUR RECYCLERS 80.8
    (1.9%)
    OM INFRA 129.8
    (-0.7%)
    ORIENT CERATECH 48.7
    (-2.9%)
    OWAIS METAL & MINERAL PROCESSING LTD. 1,199.0
    (5.0%)
    P.M. TELELINNKS 5.9
    (0.2%)
    PACT INDUSTRIES 1.4
    (4.6%)
    PENNAR INDUSTRIES 136.1
    (0.3%)
    POCL ENTERPRISES 300.9
    (0.3%)
    POKARNA 515.4
    (-2.0%)
    PRADHIN 50.8
    (5.0%)
    PRAKASH STEELAGE 9.8
    (5.0%)
    QUALITY FOILS (INDIA) LTD. 110.0
    (0.0%)
    RAASI REFRACTORIES 47.2
    (-5.0%)
    RAJDARSHAN 46.6
    (4.9%)
    RAJRATAN GLOBAL WIRE 592.8
    (1.0%)
    RAM RAT.WIRE 381.7
    (0.8%)
    RAMA STEEL TUBES 13.0
    (1.3%)
    RATHI BARS 42.7
    (1.8%)
    RATHI STEEL 64.2
    (-0.2%)
    RATNAMANI METALS 3,298.8
    (1.6%)
    RATNAVEER PRECISION ENGINEERING LTD. 129.3
    (1.9%)
    REFRACTORY SHAPES LTD. 95.6
    (5.0%)
    REMI EDELSTAHL TUBULARS 102.4
    (5.0%)
    RHETAN TMT 13.6
    (0.5%)
    RHI MAGNESITA 657.9
    (-0.4%)
    RIDDHI STEEL & TUBE 49.5
    (-3.0%)
    RUCHI STRIPS 7.0
    (5.0%)
    RUDRA GLOBAL 38.8
    (-0.0%)
    SAIL 169.2
    (1.4%)
    SAL STEEL 21.7
    (-2.0%)
    SARDA ENERGY & MINERALS 269.5
    (0.9%)
    SARTHAK METALS 254.2
    (2.2%)
    SH.STEEL WIR 39.6
    (-1.3%)
    SHAH ALLOYS 62.0
    (1.0%)
    SHALIMAR WIRE 24.3
    (4.7%)
    SHARDA ISPAT 284.0
    (-0.4%)
    SHARP CHUCKS & MACHINES LTD. 116.6
    (0.0%)
    SHIV.BIMETAL 529.8
    (1.3%)
    SHRI BAJRANG ALLOYS 297.5
    (-0.1%)
    SHYAM METALICS AND ENERGY 644.1
    (3.1%)
    SIMPLEX CASTINGS 181.5
    (0.0%)
    SP REFRACTORIES LTD. 229.0
    (0.0%)
    SRU STEELS 10.1
    (-1.6%)
    STEEL EXCHANGE 13.4
    (-0.8%)
    STEEL STRIPS INFRA 36.2
    (1.5%)
    STEELCAST 665.0
    (0.5%)
    SUNFLAG IRON & STEEL 209.7
    (1.3%)
    SURAJ PRODUCTS 906.3
    (4.6%)
    SURAJ STAINLESS 258.2
    (0.8%)
    SURANI STEEL TUBES 405.0
    (1.2%)
    SURYA ROSHNI 584.6
    (0.9%)
    SWASTIK PIPES LTD. 76.9
    (0.7%)
    T.N.STEEL TU 11.4
    (0.0%)
    TATA METALIK 1,090.2
    (3.0%)
    TATA STEEL 167.9
    (0.4%)
    TATA STEEL BSL 85.6
    (-1.4%)
    TATA STEEL LONG PROD 829.5
    (0.3%)
    TAYO ROLLS 100.7
    (1.0%)
    THAAI CASTING LTD. 200.7
    (1.2%)
    TINPLATE 430.5
    (-0.5%)
    TRANSTEEL SEATING TECH 95.2
    (-2.3%)
    TULSYAN NEC 99.6
    (-4.9%)
    UNI ABEX 2,552.9
    (3.9%)
    UNISON METALS 22.5
    (1.4%)
    USHA MARTIN 357.9
    (1.5%)
    VALLABH STEEL 10.6
    (-1.9%)
    VASWANI INDUSTRIES 37.8
    (4.9%)
    VBC FERRO 41.9
    (0.0%)
    VENUS PIPES & TUBES 2,133.0
    (0.5%)
    VIBHOR STEEL TUBES LTD. 268.5
    (1.2%)
    VISA STEEL 20.5
    (2.3%)
    WELCAST 1,357.9
    (-0.5%)
    WELSPUN SPECIALTY 38.0
    (1.8%)

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