Share |

Budget 2005-06: Auto Ancillaries


With US $ 1 trillion worth of opportunity knocking at its doors, the Indian auto industry with its low cost manpower and homegrown IT advantage is all set to grow its revenues to US$ 5 bn by FY08, a five fold increase from the current levels. However, dated technology and competition from countries like China and Thailand might disrupt the industry growth story. Read more

Budget Measures


  • Customs duty on lead cut to 5%.
  • Excise duty is being reduced on tyres, tubes and flaps from 24% to 16%
  • No change in excise duty on automobiles. Excise exemption on tractors to continue.
  • Customs duty reduction on select capital goods and inverted duty structures (i.e. the duty on input costs being higher than the product itself) reduced from 15% to 5% or 10%. Customs duty on the basic plastic material to 10%. Customs duty on selected petro-chemicals reduced from 10% to 5%.
  • Customs duty on natural rubber to continue at 70%. But peak customs duty reduced from 20% to 15%.
  • VAT implementation.

    Budget Impact


  • The reduction in customs duty on lead to 5% will result in lower raw material costs for automotive manufacturers like Exide.

  • Lower excise on tyres could potentially boost the tyre sales and will be margin accretive. The reduction of peak customs duty will benefit almost all auto ancillary majors.


    Sector Outlook


  • The auto ancillary sector is lot more diversified in nature with companies specializing in their own niche. As far as the sectors that are under our coverage, automotive battery, tyre companies, forging players will benefit from the budget proposals. This would enable to partially absorb the incidence of firm raw material costs in the short-term.


    Industry Wish List


    Key pre-budget memorandum for 2004-05 from Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA) is as follows:

  • Setting up of 3 domestic SEZs in the North, West and Southern India clustering around the major automotive manufacturing hubs. There should be exemption from customs duty on inputs, sales tax & excise duty for supplies to units in the SEZ.

  • All barriers to inter-state trade and commerce should be removed and a uniform national market to be created on the implementation of VAT.

  • Status quo to be maintained on import tariffs on auto-components so that they would be kept at the current levels of 25% for the next 2-3 years

  • Benefit of 150% weighted deduction for investment made on R&D maybe extended to auto component manufacturers also, as it has been done in the case of other notified industries.


    Budget over the years


    Budget 2002-03 Budget 2003-04 Budget 2004-05

    Reduction in customs duty on metals used by industry. While duty on copper, zinc and lead reduced from 35% to 25%, duty on Aluminium reduced from 25% to 15%.

    De-reservation of a number of items in the SSI sector.

    Measures to bring in large-scale public investment in infrastructure development and acceleration in the Golden Quadrilateral project.

    Additional levy of a cess of 50 paise per liter of diesel and motor spirit, which will contribute Rs 26 bn and help in acceleration of highway development program.

    IT companies will continue to enjoy the benefits of 10A/10B benefits even after a change of management.

    Reduction in excise duty on cars from 32% to 24% and electric vehicles from 16% to 8%.

    Decrease in freight rate on iron and steel by around 5.3%.

    Duty on key inputs such as non-alloy steel to be reduced from 15% to 10%. Duty on alloy steel, copper, lead, zinc and base metals also reduced from 20% to 15%.

    Consortium of banks formed to ensure speedy conclusion of loan agreements and implementation of infrastructure projects.

    2% education cess on all taxes.

     

    Key Positives
  • Cost advantage - Due to cost related pressures on global auto players and Tier 1 suppliers, a lot of them have started outsourcing components from Indian auto ancillary players. The industry, which exported components worth over US$ 1 bn in FY04, is also benefiting from strong domestic sales.

  • Large untapped market - Global auto components market is worth over US$ 1 trillion and considering India's market size, which is just 0.8% of the total market size, there exists tremendous growth opportunity for the domestic auto players to exploit.

  • Milking the MNC experience - The entry of global players such as Ford, GM, Toyota and Honda into the Indian market has allowed the Indian manufacturers to work with these players on global production, quality and delivery systems. It has also helped the global players to see for themselves the evolution of many auto components manufacturers and they are therefore now entrusting them with more work.

  • IT advantage - Thanks to the country's IT advantage, the industry is capable of becoming a full-fledged service provider (research, design, development, testing) to global OEMs and thus score over competitors like China and Thailand. This combined with low cost quality manpower strengthens our stand in the global arena.

      
    Key Negatives
  • Not enough economies of scale - Despite being around 60 years old, the domestic auto industry is even behind countries like South Korea, Brazil and Mexico in terms of production and sales, thus depriving it the benefit of economies of scale. This makes it difficult for companies to invest extensively in R&D and development, a key competitive tool in the global market.

  • Competitive threats - Countries like China and Thailand might put a spanner in domestic industry's wheels. While China has huge economies of scale and lower labour cost than India in some areas, Thailand is believed to have excess capacity (legacy of East Asian crisis) and depreciated assets. Therefore, these countries are capable of beating India at its own game, that of low cost.

  • Trade agreements might hurt - The growing number of FTAs (Free Trade Agreements) that are being signed by India with countries like Thailand, Singapore, China etc is likely to hurt the domestic players as they pay a relatively higher duty of around 25% as compared to 1%-10% being paid by its Asian counterparts.


    Budget Impact: Auto Ancillaries Sector Analysis for 2004-05 | Auto Ancillaries Sector Analysis for 2006-07
    Latest: Performance Of Auto Ancillaries Stocks | Auto Ancillaries Sector Report

    Feedback


    Name
    E-mail
    Your comments
     

    Sector Performance
    COMPANY PRICE (Rs)
    AFFORDABLE ROBOTIC & AUTOMATION 642.0
    (13.2%)
    AKAR TOOLS L 104.2
    (-13.3%)
    AMARA RAJA ENERGY & MOBILITY 1,195.8
    (0.5%)
    AMIC FORGING LTD. 792.0
    (0.9%)
    ASAHI INDIA 586.0
    (-0.9%)
    ASK AUTOMOTIVE LTD. 298.8
    (0.2%)
    AUTO CORP. OF GOA 1,928.9
    (0.9%)
    AUTOLINE INDUST. 117.7
    (0.0%)
    AUTOMOTIVE AXLES 1,914.9
    (-1.1%)
    AUTOMOTIVE STAMP 855.1
    (-1.6%)
    BANCO PRODUCTS 589.5
    (-1.3%)
    BHARAT GEARS 106.0
    (-0.7%)
    BHARAT SEATS 151.7
    (-1.8%)
    BIMETAL BEARINGS 613.0
    (-2.4%)
    BOMBAY CYCLE 1,865.0
    (-1.8%)
    BOSCH 30,493.7
    (-0.4%)
    CIE AUTOMOTIVE INDIA 539.4
    (-0.2%)
    CRAFTSMAN AUTOMATION 4,136.6
    (-1.2%)
    DECCAN BEARINGS 60.7
    (1.2%)
    DIVGI TORQTRANSFER 715.1
    (1.6%)
    DOLFIN RUBBERS 210.0
    (0.3%)
    EL FORGE. 19.9
    (2.0%)
    EMMFORCE AUTOTECH LTD. 167.3
    (-3.6%)
    ENDURANCE TECHNOLOGIES 2,204.8
    (0.6%)
    EXIDE INDUSTRIES 499.0
    (0.2%)
    FEDERAL - MOGUL G 388.0
    (1.7%)
    FIEM INDUSTRIES 1,187.3
    (-0.8%)
    GABRIEL INDIA 358.4
    (-1.2%)
    GKW. 2,275.3
    (-5.0%)
    GNA AXLES 383.7
    (-1.1%)
    GS AUTO INT. 37.9
    (4.9%)
    HAPPY FORGINGS LTD. 1,099.6
    (0.4%)
    HI-TECH GEARS 970.0
    (-1.7%)
    HIGH ENERGY 775.9
    (-0.5%)
    HIM TEKNOFORGE 137.0
    (-1.7%)
    HIND HARDY SPICE 438.0
    (-5.2%)
    HIND.COMPOSI 424.1
    (-1.6%)
    INDIA NIPPON 705.3
    (7.7%)
    INDO NATIONAL 588.4
    (-0.6%)
    IP RINGS 185.7
    (1.1%)
    IST 935.0
    (-0.5%)
    JAINEX AAMCOL 164.9
    (0.8%)
    JAMNA AUTO 121.6
    (0.6%)
    JAY BHARAT MARUTI 99.6
    (-2.1%)
    JBM AUTO. 2,072.2
    (1.7%)
    JTEKT INDIA 168.7
    (1.3%)
    KRANTI INDUSTRIES 75.6
    (0.1%)
    L.G.BALAKRISHNAN 1,227.4
    (0.2%)
    LUMAX AUTO TECHNO 491.7
    (2.0%)
    LUMAX IND 2,618.9
    (3.6%)
    MAH. SCOOTERS 7,650.0
    (0.1%)
    MAKS ENERGY SOLUTIONS 59.2
    (0.0%)
    MANDEEP AUTO INDUSTRIES LTD. 52.3
    (3.4%)
    MENON BEARINGS 119.1
    (0.1%)
    MENON PISTON 88.8
    (-1.5%)
    MINDA CORPORATION 418.4
    (-0.5%)
    MOTHERSON SUMI WIRING 67.2
    (0.7%)
    MUNJAL SHOWA 152.7
    (-1.0%)
    NDR AUTO COMPONENTS 833.0
    (-2.0%)
    NEW SWAN MULTITECH LTD. 65.0
    (-10.0%)
    NRB BEARINGS 315.1
    (-0.4%)
    NRB INDUSTRIAL 34.1
    (-0.4%)
    OMAX AUTOS 140.7
    (2.0%)
    PAE 5.0
    (0.2%)
    PANKAJ PIYUSH 109.3
    (-5.0%)
    PATTECH FITWELL TUBE COMPONENTS LTD. 88.0
    (0.0%)
    PORWAL AUTO 52.8
    (-1.0%)
    PPAP AUTOMOTIVE 190.0
    (0.4%)
    PRECISION CAMSHAFTS 182.6
    (-0.5%)
    PRECISION METALIKS 44.0
    (0.9%)
    PRICOL 433.2
    (0.1%)
    PRITIKA ENGINEERING COMPONENTS LTD. 49.0
    (-1.5%)
    RACL GEARTECH 1,055.0
    (-1.2%)
    RAJKUMAR FORGE 96.0
    (-1.1%)
    RAMKRISHNA FORG 669.8
    (-0.2%)
    RANE BRAKE 870.1
    (0.1%)
    RANE ENGINES 352.8
    (1.1%)
    RANE MADRAS 795.9
    (-0.8%)
    RASANDIK ENG. 93.0
    (0.2%)
    REMSONS IND. 879.1
    (-0.8%)
    RICO AUTO 117.9
    (-2.1%)
    ROLEX RINGS 2,397.5
    (2.0%)
    SAI MOH AUTO LINKS 25.8
    (5.0%)
    SAL AUTOMOTIVE 505.0
    (0.8%)
    SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON 152.8
    (0.7%)
    SANDHAR TECHNOLOGIES 528.4
    (2.7%)
    SCHAEFFLER INDIA 4,239.4
    (-2.6%)
    SCHRADER DUNCAN 426.8
    (-0.4%)
    SETCO AUTOMOTIVE 10.6
    (1.9%)
    SHANTAI INDUSTRIES 41.3
    (-5.0%)
    SHIGAN QUANTUM 103.0
    (-2.8%)
    SHIVAM AUTOTECH 34.4
    (-1.3%)
    SIBAR AUTO 9.9
    (-1.3%)
    SIMMONDS MARSHALL 82.0
    (1.6%)
    SINTERCOM INDIA 130.0
    (2.6%)
    SJS ENTERPRISES 720.4
    (2.8%)
    SKF INDIA 6,018.6
    (1.1%)
    SKP BEARING INDUSTRIES 215.0
    (-2.0%)
    SMITHS & FOUNDERS (INDIA) 5.3
    (4.6%)
    SNL BEARINGS 365.0
    (0.1%)
    SONA COMSTAR 633.6
    (-0.7%)
    STEEL STRIPS WHEELS 213.0
    (-2.2%)
    STERLING TOOLS 352.0
    (-0.1%)
    SUBROS. 614.0
    (2.0%)
    SUNDARAM BRAKE 727.9
    (-0.6%)
    SUNDRAM FASTENERS 1,193.6
    (3.3%)
    SUPRAJIT ENGINEERING 449.6
    (2.8%)
    TALBROS AUTO 286.9
    (-0.5%)
    TAPARIA TOOL 4.3
    (4.9%)
    TIMKEN INDIA 3,946.4
    (-1.2%)
    TIRUPATI FORGE 16.3
    (-0.6%)
    TIRUPATI TYRES 35.5
    (-5.0%)
    TRITON VALVE 2,725.0
    (2.2%)
    TVS HOLDINGS 12,000.0
    (9.3%)
    UCAL FUEL 155.1
    (-3.1%)
    UNIVERSAL AUTOFOUNDRY 165.5
    (-0.1%)
    URAVI WEDGE LAMPS 552.0
    (-0.5%)
    WHEELS INDIA 666.8
    (-0.7%)
    ZF COMMERCIAL 16,037.7
    (0.7%)
    ZF STEERING 1,013.0
    (-0.8%)

    © Equitymaster Agora Research Private Limited.
    www.personalfn.com | www.equitymaster.com
    Why Personalfn? | Why Equitymaster? | Terms of Use | Contact Us | About Us